The chance that there will be any permanent ice left in the Arctic after 2022 is essentially zero

 "The chance that there will be any permanent ice left in the Arctic after 2022 is essentially zero"

How did this prediction by Harvard climate scientist James Anderson in 2018 published in my favourite media outlet Forbes turn out?

Arctic Ice Cover March 2023 (NASA)

This NASA graph with data up to 2023 shows the current ice cover pretty much in the middle of the years 2012–2023.

What do we learn from that?

1. Check for the track record and do not read media that is regularly wrong
2. Immediately ignore what one single scientist says; to speak with Nassim Taleb: “Science is great, scientists are dangerous”
3. Do not support catastrophism. It is most likely not true and harms reasonable steps to approach the fact, that we indeed have a climate change problem.

Trust in science and media is lost (because we constantly amplify the extremists and naive one-trick-pony activists) and we indeed inflicted large harm to our society, albeit not necessarily the one these people are warning us from — think of the Energy disaster in Germany, Europe and in many other developing countries as a consequence of the large scale mistakes made by countries like Germany.